Weekly Price Tips
This is where we look at price discrepancies in markets utilizing all the information we have and using my own judgement on where I think things are going. Hopefully we can get it right and its useful to many. Note that we are not always looking for the winner, its about predicting the price shortening or finding errors. This can be used to your benefit, especially for Back to Lay or creating a strong position in certain markets “greening up” or reducing your overall losing position.
1) Dutch Election (Most Seats) - PVV now (1/5) @ladbrokes — 75% chance on @polymarket (4/9 @williamhill)
2) Next Irish President - Catherine Connolly now mainly (1/4) next best: (1/3) — 73% chance on @polymarket 1.34 @betfairexchange (4/9 @betvictor)
Brads Tip - BACK (French Presidential Election) Jean-Luc Melenchon (25/1) @ladbrokes. Really stands out this, he’s very unlikely to win the second round but will more than likely run and when the field filters down his price will be half of that. And currently his @betfairexchange price is under 9/1. Don’t forget France are moving similar to the UK, where both ends of the spectrum are appealing and the centre is dying out. Whatever happens great B2L opportunity and one to get on your side early doors at odds.